Toronto Maple Leafs host Nashville Tuesday, the price likes Toronto, the form doesn't
Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 6, 2026 · Updated Oct 7, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
The read: Toronto's the play at home, but the form doesn't match the price.
Market median, read Oct 6, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
Form & standings
- 1-1-0
- Record
- 1-2-0
- 6th / 12th
- Division / Conference
- 7th / 14th
- W 2-1 vs DAL
- Last game
- L 2-3 vs OTT
- W1
- Streak
- L1
As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.
Head-to-head
NSH 1 – 1 TOR- Oct 14, 2025 Maple Leafs won 7–4
- Dec 20, 2025 Predators won 5–3
The market
Market median, read Oct 6, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
The analysis
Puck drops Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 7:00 p.m. ET, at Scotiabank Arena, where the Toronto Maple Leafs host the Nashville Predators in the 2026-27 NHL regular season.
Here's the number that nags at me. Toronto sits at 1-2-0. It lost its last game in regulation, to the Ottawa Senators. Before that, a win over the Islanders, then a loss to Montréal. Nashville is 1-1-0, and just won at home against the Dallas Stars, 2-1. Toronto goes into this game 7th in the Atlantic Division, 14th in the Eastern Conference, on a 1-game losing streak. Nashville goes into this game 6th in the Central Division, 12th in the Western Conference, on a 1-game winning streak.
Our feed has 2 meetings in the 2025-2026 season. Toronto won 7-4 on October 14, 2025. Nashville won 5-3 on December 20, 2025. One apiece, dead even.
The market, read Tuesday, October 6, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET, across 14 books, makes Toronto the favourite at 1.67 (-149). Nashville sits at 2.35 (+135).
The ice favours Toronto at home. The form doesn't match the price. I'll take the Toronto Maple Leafs to win. My confidence is low, because the market is clean and Toronto's recent form isn't.
After the game
WonNSH 4 – TOR 5 (OT)
Toronto beats Nashville 5 to 4 in overtime. The Predators jump out to a 3 to 0 lead through two periods and the Leafs spend most of the night chasing the puck. Toronto ties it at 4 in the third before closing it out in the extra frame. All three stars of the game skate for Toronto, proof this comeback ran through more than one line.
Published Oct 6, 2026 · Updated Oct 7, 2026
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