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Colorado Avalanche host Toronto Maple Leafs, Coach Tremblay's read for Saturday

Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 10, 2026 · Updated Oct 11, 2026

Final · Regulation Oct 10 · Ball Arena
TOR Maple Leafs · Away 6
COL Pick Avalanche · Home 3
Pick: Colorado Avalanche to win Lost
The pick Lost

Colorado Avalanche to win

Confidence Medium

The read: A measured lean toward Colorado, built on home ice and recent form.

At publication 1.45 (-222)
Reference stake $10.00 → $14.50 returns if won

Market median, read Oct 10, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.

Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.

Form & standings

TOR COL
5 Points 6
2-2-1
Record
3-1-0
5th / 9th
Division / Conference
2nd / 4th
OTL 3-4 (SO) at VGK
Last game
W 7-3 at CGY
OT1
Streak
W1

As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.

Head-to-head

TOR 1 – 1 COL
  1. Jan 12, 2026 Maple Leafs won · OT 4–3
  2. Jan 25, 2026 Avalanche won 4–1

The market

Maple Leafs 2.80 (+180)
Avalanche · favourite 1.45 (-222)

Market median, read Oct 10, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.

Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.

The analysis

Faceoff is Saturday, October 10, 2026, 7:00 p.m. ET. The Colorado Avalanche host the Toronto Maple Leafs at Ball Arena, NHL regular season, 2026-27. Two clubs trending in different directions early this year.

Colorado won its last game, 7-3 on the road at Calgary on Thursday, October 8, 2026. The Avalanche are 3-1-0, with a one-game winning streak. Toronto dropped a shootout at Vegas that same night, Thursday, October 8, 2026, 3-4. The Maple Leafs sit at 2-2-1, having lost their last game in a shootout.

Colorado goes into this game 2nd in the Central Division and 4th in the Western Conference, with 6 points. Toronto comes into this game 5th in the Atlantic and 9th in the Eastern Conference, with 5 points. The numbers we track show 2 meetings between these clubs last season: Toronto won 4-3 in overtime on Monday, January 12, 2026, and Colorado answered with a 4-1 win on Sunday, January 25, 2026. Dead even on that ledger.

The market leans hard toward Colorado. A read taken Saturday, October 10, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET has it at 1.45 (-222) for the Avalanche, 2.80 (+180) for Toronto. Colorado is the listed favourite. I'll take the Colorado Avalanche to win. Home ice, recent form and the standings point the same way, but the season series between these two is split right down the middle. My confidence: Medium.

Avalanche du Colorado vs Maple Leafs de Toronto - Avalanche du Colorado vainqueur

After the game

Lost

TOR 6 – COL 3

The call on the Colorado Avalanche to win didn't hold up. Toronto left with a 6-3 win in regulation. The Avalanche actually led 2-1 after the first period on a pair of goals from Nathan MacKinnon, then watched Toronto answer with five straight goals, three from William Nylander and two from Auston Matthews on the power play. Published odds sat at 1.45.

Published Oct 10, 2026 · Updated Oct 11, 2026

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