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Colorado Avalanche Heavily Favoured Over Pittsburgh Penguins

Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 16, 2026 · Updated Oct 17, 2026

Final · Regulation Oct 16 · Ball Arena
PIT Penguins · Away 2
COL Pick Avalanche · Home 5
Pick: Colorado Avalanche to win Won
The pick Won

Colorado Avalanche to win

Confidence High

The read: Home ice and form favour Colorado, even on shorter rest.

Why this confidence
  • Colorado Avalanche have the stronger results over recent seasons, ahead of the Pittsburgh Penguins.
  • Colorado Avalanche play at home: home sides have won 52% of NHL games over the last 2 seasons.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins played a game 3 days before this one, against 2 for Colorado.
At publication 1.50 (-200)
Reference stake $10.00 → $15.00 returns if won

Market median, read Oct 16, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.

Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.

Form & standings

PIT COL
7 Points 9
3-3-1
Record
4-2-1
6th / 12th
Division / Conference
4th / 7th
L 3-5 at CHI
Last game
OTL 2-3 (SO) vs DAL
L1
Streak
OT1

As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.

Head-to-head

PIT 1 – 1 COL
  1. Mar 16, 2026 Penguins won 7–2
  2. Mar 24, 2026 Avalanche won 6–2

The market

Penguins 2.82 (+182)
Avalanche · favourite 1.50 (-200)

Market median, read Oct 16, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.

Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.

The analysis

At Ball Arena, the Colorado Avalanche host the Pittsburgh Penguins in NHL regular season 2026-27 action. Puck drop Friday, October 16, 2026, 9:00 p.m. ET.

Colorado sits at 4 wins, 2 losses, 1 overtime loss (4-2-1). Run: OTL, W, L, W, L, W, W. Lost its last game in a shootout. Colorado comes into this game 4th in the Central Division and 7th in the Western Conference, with 9 points. Pittsburgh sits at 3 wins, 3 losses, 1 overtime loss (3-3-1). Run: L, W, OTL, L, L, W, W. Lost its last game in regulation. Pittsburgh comes into this game 6th in the Metropolitan Division and 12th in the Eastern Conference, with 7 points.

Our feed has 2 meetings between these clubs in the 2025-2026 season. The Pittsburgh Penguins won 7-2 on Monday, March 16, 2026. The Colorado Avalanche won 6-2 on Tuesday, March 24, 2026. Over these 2 meetings, it's a win each, dead even.

The market has the Colorado Avalanche favoured at 1.50 (-200), the Pittsburgh Penguins at 2.82 (+182), price read Friday, October 16, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET across 14 books. Colorado played a game 2 days before this one. Pittsburgh played a game 3 days before this one.

My read: home ice and recent form favour Colorado, even on the shorter rest. I'll take the Colorado Avalanche to win. My confidence: High, built on Colorado's form and home ice, despite a shorter turnaround than Pittsburgh's.

Avalanche du Colorado vs Penguins de Pittsburgh - Avalanche du Colorado vainqueur

After the game

Won

PIT 2 – COL 5

Colorado Avalanche to win comes through. Pittsburgh grabbed the lead with two straight goals in the first period, but the Avalanche answered with five straight goals, unanswered the rest of the way. The final was Colorado Avalanche 5, Pittsburgh Penguins 2 in regulation, with the published odds sitting at 1.50.

Published Oct 16, 2026 · Updated Oct 17, 2026

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