Toronto Maple Leafs host New York Islanders as slight home favourites
Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 17, 2026 · Updated Oct 18, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
The read: Small home-ice advantage for Toronto, no comfortable cushion.
- Toronto Maple Leafs play at home; home sides won 52% of NHL matches over the last 2 seasons.
- New York Islanders played 2 days before this match.
- New York Islanders have the stronger results over recent seasons, ahead of Toronto Maple Leafs.
Market median, read Oct 17, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
Form & standings
- 3-3-1
- Record
- 3-3-2
- 5th / 11th
- Division / Conference
- 6th / 10th
- OTL 1-2 (SO) at OTT
- Last game
- OTL 4-5 (OT) vs BUF
- OT1
- Streak
- OT1
As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.
Head-to-head
NYI 3 – 1 TOR- Jan 3, 2026 Islanders won · OT 4–3
- Mar 17, 2026 Islanders won 3–1
- Apr 9, 2026 Islanders won 5–3
- Sep 30, 2026 Maple Leafs won 2–1
The market
Market median, read Oct 17, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
The analysis
Puck drops Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 7:00 p.m. ET, at Scotiabank Arena. The Toronto Maple Leafs host the New York Islanders in the 2026-27 NHL regular season.
Toronto is 3 wins, 3 losses, 2 overtime losses. The team lost its last game in overtime. It comes into this game 6th in the Atlantic Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference, with 8 points. New York is 3 wins, 3 losses, 1 overtime loss. The team lost its last game in a shootout. It comes into this matchup 5th in the Metropolitan Division and 11th in the East, with 7 points.
The numbers we track show 4 meetings between these two clubs this season and last. New York won 3, Toronto won 1.
The market has Toronto favoured at 1.77 (-130), New York at 2.10 (+110). Read Saturday, October 17, 2026, at 8:50 a.m. ET.
My read: home ice outweighs the recent form gap. I'll take the Toronto Maple Leafs to win. Medium confidence: home ice counts for something, but New York has the stronger results over recent seasons.
After the game
LostNYI 4 – TOR 1
The pick had the Toronto Maple Leafs to win, at 1.77, and the puck didn't cooperate. The New York Islanders won 4 to 1 in regulation. A. Duclair opened the scoring in the first period, B. Horvat made it 2 to 0 in the second, and even after C. Sissons answered in the third, S. Holmstrom scored twice to close it out, with Toronto never stringing together more than one straight goal. The pick is a loss.
Published Oct 17, 2026 · Updated Oct 18, 2026
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