Edmonton Oilers vs. Toronto Maple Leafs: My Pick for Tonight
Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 24, 2026 · Updated Oct 25, 2026
Edmonton Oilers to win
The read: Slight advantage to Edmonton at home, without a comfortable margin against a hot Toronto team.
- Edmonton Oilers have posted stronger results than Toronto over recent seasons.
- Edmonton Oilers are at home, where NHL teams won 53% of games over the last two seasons.
- The last two meetings between these clubs are dead even, one win each.
Market median, read Oct 24, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
Form & standings
- 6-4-2
- Record
- 8-1-1
- 4th / 6th
- Division / Conference
- 1st / 1st
- W 5-4 vs NYR
- Last game
- W 6-5 (SO) vs CAR
- W3
- Streak
- W3
As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.
Head-to-head
TOR 1 – 1 EDM- Dec 13, 2025 Oilers won 6–3
- Feb 3, 2026 Maple Leafs won 5–2
The market
Market median, read Oct 24, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
The analysis
Edmonton have won three straight. So have Toronto. They meet Saturday, October 24, 2026, 7:00 p.m. ET, at Rogers Place. NHL regular season 2026-27.
Edmonton's record sits at 8 wins, 1 loss, 1 overtime loss (8-1-1) through 10 games. At home, the Oilers are 3-1-1. That mark has them 1st in the Pacific Division and 1st in the Western Conference heading into this game, with 17 points.
Toronto's record sits at 6-4-2 through 12 games. On the road, the Leafs are 2-1-1. That mark has them 4th in the Atlantic Division and 6th in the Eastern Conference heading into this game, with 14 points.
The numbers we track show 2 meetings between these clubs last season. Edmonton won 6-3 on December 13, 2025. Toronto won 5-2 on February 3, 2026. One win each, dead even. The market was read Saturday, October 24, 2026, at 8:50 a.m. ET. Edmonton are favoured at 1.57 (-175). Toronto sit at 2.47 (+147).
My read: home ice and a strong season put Edmonton ahead. But Toronto's own three-game streak keeps this from being comfortable. I'll take Edmonton Oilers to win. My confidence: medium. Edmonton play at home, and home teams have won 53% of NHL games over the last two seasons. Last season's series between these two clubs was dead even, one win each, and that keeps me from going higher.
After the game
LostTOR 7 – EDM 2
The pick on the Edmonton Oilers to win is a loss, as the Toronto Maple Leafs took this one 7-2 in regulation. Toronto ripped off 3 straight goals, from 14:16 in the first period to 06:23 in the second, building a 3-0 lead before Edmonton's reply at 19:04 of the middle frame. The Oilers never scored more than one goal in a row the rest of the way, even working the power play, and the Leafs closed the night out at 7-2. The published odds of 1.57 on the Oilers didn't hold up against that Toronto attack.
Published Oct 24, 2026 · Updated Oct 25, 2026
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