Winnipeg Jets vs. Montréal Canadiens: my pick for Sunday

Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 25, 2026 · Updated Oct 26, 2026

Final · Regulation Oct 25 · Princess Auto Stadium

MTL Pick Canadiens · Away 2

WPG Jets · Home 1

The pick Won

Montréal Canadiens to win

Confidence Low

The read: A slight edge to Montréal, no comfortable margin

Why this confidence

Montréal has the stronger results over recent seasons than Winnipeg.
Winnipeg plays at home, and home sides won 53% of NHL matches over the last two seasons.

At publication 1.83 (-120)

Reference stake $10.00 → $18.30 returns if won

Market median, read Oct 25, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.

Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.

Form & standings

MTL WPG

12 Points 11

5-3-2
Record: 4-3-3; 5th / 10th
Division / Conference: 5th / 9th; W 4-1 at CHI
Last game: OTL 2-3 (OT) at DAL; W1
Streak: OT1

As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.

Head-to-head

MTL 2 – 0 WPG

Dec 3, 2025 Canadiens won · SO 3–2
Feb 4, 2026 Canadiens won 5–1

The market

Canadiens · favourite 1.83 (-120)

Jets 2.00 (+100)

Market median, read Oct 25, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.

Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.

The analysis

Puck drops Sunday, October 25, 2026, 7:00 p.m. ET, at Princess Auto Stadium. Winnipeg hosts Montréal in NHL regular season 2026-27 play.

Winnipeg lost its last game in overtime. The Jets sit at 4 wins, 3 losses, 3 overtime losses (4-3-3). Montréal won its last game and carries a 5-3-2 record this season.

Winnipeg comes into this game 5th in the Central Division and 9th in the Western Conference, with 11 points through 10 games. Montréal comes into this game 5th in the Atlantic Division and 10th in the Eastern Conference, with 12 points through 10 games. The numbers we track show 2 meetings between these clubs in the 2025-2026 season. Montréal won 3-2 in a shootout on Wednesday, December 3, 2025, then 5-1 in regulation on Wednesday, February 4, 2026.

The market, read Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 8:50 a.m. ET, makes Montréal the favourite at 1.83 (-120). Winnipeg sits at 2.00 (+100).

My read: a slight edge to Montréal, no comfortable margin. My pick: Montréal Canadiens to win. My confidence: low. Winnipeg has the ice at home, and that matters in this league.

Jets de Winnipeg vs Canadiens de Montréal - Canadiens de Montréal vainqueurs

After the game

Won

MTL 2 – WPG 1

The call was Montréal Canadiens to win, and that is how the night played out. Hutson opened the scoring in the second period at 07:19, Guhle added another at 11:04, and Montréal held on through a Winnipeg Jets reply at 15:24 in the third. Final score was Montréal Canadiens 2, Winnipeg Jets 1 in regulation, with the published odds sitting at 1.83. The pick card reads a win tonight.

Published Oct 25, 2026 · Updated Oct 26, 2026

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