Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs: Monday's NHL read
Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 26, 2026 · Updated Oct 27, 2026
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
The read: Toronto looks slightly better, but no comfortable margin in Calgary.
- Toronto Maple Leafs have the stronger results over recent seasons.
- Calgary Flames play at home, and home sides won 53% of NHL matches over the last 2 seasons.
Market median, read Oct 26, 2026, 9:02 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
Form & standings
- 7-4-2
- Record
- 4-6-0
- 3rd / 4th
- Division / Conference
- 6th / 13th
- W 7-2 at EDM
- Last game
- W 4-1 vs DET
- W4
- Streak
- W3
As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.
Head-to-head
TOR 2 – 0 CGY- Oct 28, 2025 Maple Leafs won 4–3
- Feb 2, 2026 Maple Leafs won 4–2
The market
Market median, read Oct 26, 2026, 9:02 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
The analysis
Puck drop Monday, October 26, 2026, 8:30 p.m. ET, at the Scotiabank Saddledome. NHL regular season 2026-27, with the Toronto Maple Leafs on the road against the Calgary Flames.
Toronto arrives on a 4-game winning streak, 7-4-2 in 13 games, 16 points. Toronto comes into this game 4th in the Eastern Conference and 3rd in the Atlantic Division, at 3-1-1 on the road. Calgary is riding a 3-game winning streak of its own, but the overall record still reads 4-6-0 in 10 games, 8 points. Calgary comes into this one 13th in the Western Conference and 6th in the Pacific Division, at 3-3-0 at home.
Our feed has 2 meetings last season. Toronto won 4-3 at home on Tuesday, October 28, 2025, then won 4-2 at Calgary on Monday, February 2, 2026.
The market makes the Toronto Maple Leafs favourites at 1.67 (-149), against 2.25 (+125) for the Calgary Flames. Read Monday, October 26, 2026, 9:02 a.m. ET.
My read: Toronto looks like the better team right now, but Calgary is home and riding a streak of its own. I'll take the Toronto Maple Leafs to win. Confidence: low. Toronto's recent run carries weight in my read, but home teams have won 53% of NHL games over the last two seasons, and that's what holds me back here.
After the game
LostTOR 2 – CGY 5
The call on the Toronto Maple Leafs to win falls flat. The Calgary Flames take it 5 to 2 in regulation. Calgary jumps out with 3 straight goals, from 10:05 in the first period to 00:25 in the second, and Toronto answers with 2 straight goals, from 12:54 in the second to 06:06 in the third. But Calgary shuts the door late in the third to make it a final 5 to 2. The pick at 1.67 is a loser, and Toronto never found a way to match the pace Calgary set.
Published Oct 26, 2026 · Updated Oct 27, 2026
Thanks, your view is recorded.
Follow Blue Line Picks on Google: add Blue Line Picks as a preferred source.