Vegas Golden Knights vs. Ottawa Senators: the read before puck drop
Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 27, 2026 · Updated Oct 28, 2026
Vegas Golden Knights to win
The read: Slim edge to Vegas, no comfortable margin
- Vegas Golden Knights play at home: home teams have won 53% of NHL games over the last two seasons.
- Vegas lost its last game in overtime and are 6-3-1 over their last 10 games.
Market median, read Oct 27, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
Form & standings
- 8-4-0
- Record
- 8-4-1
- 2nd / 3rd
- Division / Conference
- 2nd / 3rd
- W 7-4 vs NYR
- Last game
- OTL 1-2 (OT) at CBJ
- W1
- Streak
- OT1
As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.
Head-to-head
OTT 2 – 0 VGK- Nov 26, 2025 Senators won · SO 4–3
- Jan 25, 2026 Senators won 7–1
The market
Market median, read Oct 27, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
The analysis
Puck drops Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 10:00 p.m. ET. Vegas hosts Ottawa at T-Mobile Arena, in front of 20,000 fans. It's NHL regular season 2026-27.
Vegas sits at 8 wins, 4 losses, 1 overtime loss (8-4-1) through 13 games. At home, that record climbs to 5-2-0. The Golden Knights lost their last game in overtime. Vegas comes into this game 2nd in the Pacific Division, 3rd in the Western Conference, with 17 points. They're 6-3-1 over their last 10 games.
Ottawa is 8-4-0 through 12 games. The Senators won their last game. On the road, they're 3-2-0. Ottawa comes into this game 2nd in the Atlantic Division, 3rd in the Eastern Conference, with 16 points. They're 6-4-0 over their last 10 games.
Head-to-head: Vegas Golden Knights 3 – 4 Ottawa Senators (shootout) on November 26, 2025, then Ottawa Senators 7 – 1 Vegas Golden Knights (regulation) on January 25, 2026, both in the 2025-2026 season. Over these 2 meetings, Ottawa Senators won both and Vegas Golden Knights won none. At the market, read Tuesday, October 27, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET, Vegas is favoured at 1.67 (-149). Ottawa sits at 2.37 (+137).
My read: the ice tilts toward Vegas, without much room to spare. Home ice outweighs the recent run. I'll take the Vegas Golden Knights to win. Confidence: Medium, because Vegas just lost in overtime and sit 6-3-1 over their last 10 games.
After the game
WonOTT 1 – VGK 4
The pick on the Vegas Golden Knights to win comes through. Vegas struck on the power play late in the 2nd period, and the Ottawa Senators answered right back on the power play to tie it early in the 3rd. From 08:01 to 19:53 in the 3rd period, though, the Golden Knights ran off three straight goals unanswered to the end, closing it out Vegas Golden Knights 4, Ottawa Senators 1 in regulation. The published odds of 1.67 held up, and Ottawa never found the back of the net again.
Published Oct 27, 2026 · Updated Oct 28, 2026
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