Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken, my read for Wednesday
Coach Tremblay · Published Oct 28, 2026 · Updated Oct 29, 2026
Seattle Kraken to win
The read: A slight lean to Seattle, built on home ice and rest.
- Seattle Kraken play at home. Home teams have won 53% of NHL games over the last 2 seasons.
- Toronto Maple Leafs played 2 days before this game, a shorter rest than Seattle's turnaround.
Market median, read Oct 28, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
Form & standings
- 7-5-2
- Record
- 7-4-1
- 5th / 7th
- Division / Conference
- 3rd / 5th
- L 2-5 at CGY
- Last game
- L 1-5 vs MIN
- L1
- Streak
- L1
As of publication. W win, L regulation loss, OTL overtime or shootout loss (OT: in overtime, SO: in a shootout). The record reads wins-losses-overtime losses; the streak, W3 = three wins in a row.
Head-to-head
TOR 0 – 2 SEA- Oct 18, 2025 Kraken won · OT 4–3
- Jan 29, 2026 Kraken won 5–2
The market
Market median, read Oct 28, 2026, 8:50 a.m. ET. Median of UK bookmakers, not the price of any Ontario operator.
Price shown for information only and subject to change; this is not an invitation to bet. Restricted to those aged 19 and over in Ontario. Responsible gambling - ConnexOntario, 1 866 531-2600.
The analysis
The Toronto Maple Leafs fly into Seattle for a Wednesday, October 28, 2026, 10:00 p.m. ET puck drop. It's NHL regular season 2026-27 action. Seattle Kraken host at Climate Pledge Arena, a building that holds 18,000 fans.
Seattle carries a 7-4-1 record into this game, 15 points, 3rd in the Pacific Division and 5th in the Western Conference coming into this one. The Kraken are 6-3-1 over their last 10 games. At home this season, Seattle is 3-2-0.
Toronto sits at 7-5-2, 16 points, coming into this game 5th in the Atlantic Division and 7th in the Eastern Conference. The Leafs are 5-3-2 over their last 10 outings. On the road this season, Toronto is 3-2-1. Both clubs lost their last game in regulation.
The numbers we track show 2 meetings between these clubs in the 2025-2026 season. Seattle won 4-3 in overtime on Saturday, October 18, 2025, in Toronto. Seattle won 5-2 at home on Thursday, January 29, 2026. Over these 2 meetings, Seattle has 2 wins, Toronto has none.
The market, read Wednesday, October 28, 2026 at 8:50 a.m. ET across a median of 15 books, makes Toronto the favourite at 1.85 (-118) and Seattle 2.00 (+100). My read leans on the ice and the rest. Seattle plays at home, and home teams have won 53% of NHL games over the last 2 seasons. Toronto played 2 days before this game, a tighter turnaround than Seattle's. My pick is Seattle Kraken to win. My confidence is medium. The ice and the rest point to Seattle, but the numbers don't stretch further than that.
After the game
WonTOR 4 – SEA 5
The call was Seattle Kraken at home, and the puck backed it up. Seattle struck early and ripped off two straight goals in the second period to go up four to two, before Toronto answered with two straight goals in the third to tie it at four. The Kraken grabbed the lead back late and won five to four in regulation. The published odds were 2.00, and confidence was Medium since the game stayed tight the whole way.
Published Oct 28, 2026 · Updated Oct 29, 2026
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